EXAMPLE ANALYSIS · ILLUSTRATIVE ONLY

Example US multi-location distributor.

A board-level view of how commercial opportunity is identified, quantified and sequenced. The business, figures and ranges below are fictional and illustrative. They are not client results, not a forecast and not a promise of outcome.

Latest 12m revenue

$42.6m

Gross profit

$11.7m

EBITDA

$3.2m

Inventory

$8.9m

CORE CONCLUSION

Broad growth is not the immediate constraint.

The faster value path is customer recovery, pricing discipline, quote and mix conversion, and inventory productivity – before funding wider expansion.

ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIOS

Scenario ranges, not a forecast.

Revenue scenario

$1.9m–$2.8m

Gross profit scenario

$850k–$1.25m

Cash release scenario

$1.1m–$1.7m

These ranges overlap and are non-additive. They must not be added together to form a single total.

OPPORTUNITY REGISTER

Ranked, evidenced and time-boxed.

01

Customer recovery

$1.2m–$1.7m revenue / $330k–$470k GP

Revenue + GP · Evidence B

30–90 days

02

Pricing discipline

$350k–$550k GP

Direct GP · Evidence B

30–60 days

03

Quote + mix conversion

$700k–$1.1m revenue / $200k–$320k GP

Revenue + GP · Evidence B/C

30–90 days

04

Inventory release

$1.1m–$1.7m cash

Cash release · Evidence A/B

30–120 days

05

Branch productivity

$300k–$450k GP

Direct GP · Evidence C

60–180 days

Evidence grades indicate the strength of the underlying data: A – directly measured; B – strongly supported by transactional data; C – indicative, requiring validation with management.

THE 90-DAY SEQUENCE

Validate. Launch. Test. Decide.

DAYS 1–10

VALIDATE

Accountable: Finance lead

Confirm the baseline, agree definitions and validate the opportunity register with management.

Gate: baseline and register signed off.

DAYS 11–30

LAUNCH

Accountable: Commercial lead

Stand up the top three workstreams with named owners, weekly measures and a single tracking view.

Gate: owners, measures and targets agreed.

DAYS 31–60

TEST

Accountable: Sales lead

Run customer recovery and pricing actions on defined segments; measure conversion and realized margin.

Gate: early evidence accepted or rejected.

DAYS 61–90

DECIDE

Accountable: CEO

Review measured results against the baseline and decide what to scale, stop or fund next.

Gate: capital and scaling decision.

NEXT STEP

What would this look like inside your business?

The first conversation is confidential, with no obligation. This example is illustrative and fictional; your analysis would be built from your own data.